Unemployment Rate

The Unemployment Rate released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is a percentage that surges from dividing the number of unemployed workers by the total civilian labor force. It represents the percentage of people actively seeking employment and willing to work. Usually, as a higher rate is seen in recessionary economies, while on the ​contrary, a growing economy sees its unemployment rate decreasing. Therefore, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish), although by itself, the number can't determinate the markets move as it depends on the headline reading, the Nonfarm Payroll.

Most recent - Friday 5 September 2025 12:30

Previous
4.2%
Revised
-
Forecast
4.3%
Actual
4.3%

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Unemployment Rate was 4.3% against a forecast of 4.3%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 5 September 2025 12:30
4.3%
4.3%
Friday 1 August 2025 12:30
4.2%
4.2%
Thursday 3 July 2025 12:30
4.3%
4.1%
Friday 6 June 2025 12:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 2 May 2025 12:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 4 April 2025 12:30
4.1%
4.2%
Friday 7 March 2025 13:30
4%
4.1%
Friday 7 February 2025 13:30
4.1%
4%
Friday 10 January 2025 13:30
4.2%
4.1%
Friday 6 December 2024 13:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 1 November 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.1%
Friday 4 October 2024 12:30
4.2%
4.1%
Friday 6 September 2024 12:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 2 August 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.3%
Friday 5 July 2024 12:30
4%
4.1%
Friday 7 June 2024 12:30
3.9%
4%
Friday 3 May 2024 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 5 April 2024 12:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 8 March 2024 13:30
3.7%
3.9%
Friday 2 February 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 5 January 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 8 December 2023 13:30
3.9%
3.7%
Friday 3 November 2023 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 6 October 2023 12:30
3.7%
3.8%
Friday 1 September 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.8%
Friday 4 August 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 7 July 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.6%
Friday 2 June 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.7%
Friday 5 May 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.4%
Friday 7 April 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 10 March 2023 13:30
3.4%
3.6%
Friday 3 February 2023 13:30
3.6%
3.4%
Friday 6 January 2023 13:30
3.7%
3.5%
Friday 2 December 2022 13:30
3.7%
3.7%
Friday 4 November 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.7%
Friday 7 October 2022 12:30
3.7%
3.5%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Unemployment Rate result:

PreviousLatest
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change3.9%3.7%
Labor Force Participation RateBullish change62.2%62.3%
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish change79K22K
U6 Underemployment RateBearish change7.9%8.1%
ISM Services Employment IndexBullish change46.446.5
ISM Services New Orders IndexBullish change50.356
ISM Services PMIBullish change50.152
ISM Services Prices PaidBearish change69.969.2
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change55.454.6
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change229K237K
Nonfarm ProductivityBullish change2.4%3.3%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change1.6%1%
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change106K54K
Challenger Job CutsBullish change62.075K85.979K
Factory Orders (MoM)Bullish change-4.8%-1.3%
JOLTS Job OpeningsBearish change7.357M7.181M
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change43.443.8
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change47.151.4
ISM Manufacturing PMIBullish change4848.7
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change64.863.7
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBearish change57.255.9
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change58.658.2
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change4.9%4.8%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3.9%3.5%
Chicago PMIBearish change47.141.5
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.8%2.9%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.6%2.6%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.3%0.5%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change-0.8%-0.4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)(no change)2.5%2.5%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change3%3.3%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)2%2%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change234K229K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bearish change2.1%2%

About Unemployment Rate

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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